Problem 24.1 Easy Free

Borrow Low, Lend High

Account AA pays interest continuously compounded at rate 0.040.04, and account BB at rate 0.020.02; both currently hold $1. Starting with $0 of your own money, you may deposit or borrow only integer amounts (positive or negative) in each account today, and you must close both accounts after exactly one year. What is the largest profit you can guarantee yourself, to two decimal places?

Work it out, then compare with the answer.

SolutionShow the worked solution

Key idea. Borrow from the account with the low rate and deposit in the account with the high rate. This costs nothing today and earns a sure profit at the end of the year.

Let xx be the integer amount deposited in AA and yy the integer amount deposited in BB, where a negative amount means borrowing. You start with $0. If x+y=−cx+y=-c with c>0c>0, you hold cc in idle cash, which earns nothing. Every dollar of idle cash could instead have reduced the BB-loan, which saves e0.02>1e^{0.02}>1 per dollar. So the best strategies are self-financing: y=−xy=-x.

After one year you close both accounts and receive

xe0.04+ye0.02=x(e0.04−e0.02).x e^{0.04}+y e^{0.02}=x\left(e^{0.04}-e^{0.02}\right).

This amount is known today, so it is riskless. It is positive exactly when x>0x>0, that is, when you borrow from BB and deposit in AA.

The basic arbitrage is one unit: borrow $1 from BB and deposit it in AA. At the end of the year AA returns e0.04≈1.04081e^{0.04}\approx 1.04081. Repaying BB costs e0.02≈1.02020e^{0.02}\approx 1.02020. The locked-in profit is

e0.04−e0.02≈0.0206.e^{0.04}-e^{0.02}\approx 0.0206 .

Remark on scale. The printed statement asks for the largest guaranteed profit, but it sets no limit on position size. Taken literally, that question has no finite answer: using nn units multiplies the profit by nn, so it is unbounded. The meaningful quantity is the profit per unit of the arbitrage. This is also the smallest positive amount you can guarantee under the integer constraint. It is the answer below.

e0.04−e0.02≈0.02\boxed{e^{0.04}-e^{0.02}\approx 0.02}